By State Sen. Jeff Raatz (R-Richmond)
Near the end of the legislative session, the Indiana General Assembly received a troubling revenue forecast predicting a $2.5 billion dollar revenue shortfall. That means our fiscal staff updated their predictions for how much revenue we would bring in over the next two years and their new prediction was $2.5 billion dollars less than the previous prediction. A budget shortfall is different than a budget deficit because a shortfall only considers predicted revenue rather than actual revenue and spending.
Since the Indiana Constitution requires that we maintain a balanced budget, this required us to go back to the drawing board to ensure we continue to budget within our means. Trimming back government waste and inefficient can be difficult, but our state's long-term fiscal health keeps borrowing costs low and makes sure the next generation does not foot the bill for issues that we can address now.
There are several reasons why our revenue forecast shifted. A recent stock market downturn signaled economic unpredictability. High interest rates set by the Federal Reserve and other policies out of our control also continue to have an impact. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis also showed that job gains and income growth in Indiana were lower than expected in 2024, especially in the second half.
Taking that shift into account, we took a hard look at our finances and cut where we could while preserving funding for K-12 education and other necessary services. We also took a hard look at our Medicaid program, which is ballooning rapidly in costs, and took action to make sure only those eligible for the program are able to benefit from it. Additionally, we added more oversight over state contracts to ensure we steward Hoosier taxpayer dollars wisely.
Although the economy changed significantly over the past few months, making it more difficult to predict how much revenue the state would be able to collect in tax revenue over the next few years, my colleagues and I worked tirelessly to pass a balanced budget and I will continue to make sure our state exercises fiscal responsibility in the coming years.
Constituents can reach out to me with any questions or concerns they may have by filling out a "Contact Me" form on the IndianaSenateRepublicans.com/Raatz website or by phone at 800-382-9467.
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To read the full revenue forecast and reasoning behind the predicted shortfall, visit https://www.in.gov/sba/files/1.-Economic-Outlook-April-16,-2025.pdf.
State Sen. Jeff Raatz (R-Richmond) represents Senate District 27, which includes
Henry, Union and Wayne counties, and portions of Franklin County.
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